Technology & Telecom Reports

 

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TFI publishes in-depth research reports and papers providing analyses and forecasts of emerging technologies and markets. These reports and papers are written for decision-makers looking for the competitive edge in specific technology and market areas. Topics include many of the non-traditional telephony products and services from the broadcast, cable, computer, satellite, and wireless industries. Many of the publications are sponsored by the Telecommunications Technology Forecasting Group, a consortium of telephone companies comprised of AT&T, CenturyLink, and Verizon.

Sign up for announcements of new TFI technology and telecom forecasting reports, white papers, and articles. (More TFI publications can be found at White Papers, Articles, and Complimentary Report.)

 


Transforming the Local Exchange Network Report Cover

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Sixth Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D. and Ray L. Hodges
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This report presents the latest TFI forecasts covering switching, circuit equipment, metallic cable, and fiber cable. The report also includes TFI's latest recommendations on depreciation lives for local exchange telephone plant, focusing on legacy assets. The recommendations take into account technology displacement and loss of access lines due to competition.

July 16, 2013, 80 pages
Sponsored by TTFG, a consortium made up of AT&T, CenturyLink, and Verizon.
(TTFG companies can get complimentary electronic copy of report. The TTFG is now part of the Communications Technology Forecasting Group (CTFG))

 

US $2995 Electronic Delivery


Transforming the Local Exchange Network Report Cover

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Fifth Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D. and Ray L. Hodges
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The fifth edition of TFI"s flagship publication Transforming the Local Exchange Network is available for release on October 11 and is also now available for purchase. This report presents the latest TFI forecasts covering switching, circuit equipment, metallic cable, and fiber cable. The report also includes TFI's latest recommendations on depreciation lives for local exchange telephone plant, recommendations which take into account technology displacement and loss of access lines due to competition.

Featured Graph: U.S. Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate

October 11, 2011, 56 pages
Sponsored by TTFG, a consortium made up of AT&T, CenturyLink, and Verizon.
(TTFG companies can get complimentary electronic copy of report.)

 

US $2495 Electronic Delivery


Depreciation Lives for Metro Transport Equipment Report Cover

Depreciation Lives for Metro Transport Equipment

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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The metro transport network is comprised of the transmission facilities that connect incumbent local exchange carriers (ILECs) central offices to each other. Today?s metro transport network is provided almost exclusively over fiber optic cable running between central offices. This report discusses several major changes impacting the metro transport network and recommends useful depreciation lives for metro transport equipment.

December 2009
32 pages
Sponsored by the TTFG
(TTFG companies can get complimentary electronic copy of report.)

 

US $1495 Electronic Delivery

 


Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange Report Cover

Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange: Fourth Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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Competition is having a major impact on incumbent local exchange carriers. This report documents TFI's latest forecasts of the future of competition in the local exchange and its impact on the incumbent local exchange.

Featured Graph: ILEC Wireline Access Lines and Broadband Connections

January 2009
ISBN 1-884154-34-4
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $1495 Electronic Delivery

Transforming the Local Exchange Network Report Cover

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Fourth Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D. and Ray L. Hodges
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TFI announces the availability of the fourth edition of its flagship publication Transforming the Local Exchange Network. This report presents the latest TFI forecasts covering switching, circuit equipment, metallic cable, and fiber cable. The report also includes TFI's latest recommendations on depreciation lives for local exchange telephone plant, recommendations which take into account technology displacement and loss of access lines due to competition.

Featured Graph: U.S. Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate

November 2008, 86 pages
ISBN # 1-884154-33-6
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $995 Electronic Delivery

 


 

A New Telecommunications World Report Cover

A New Telecommunications World

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.

The telephone network was built to provide narrowband voice service to essentially every home and office. That world is disappearing. The reasons are many including convergence, competition, broadband, increasing data rates, wireless, and others. This complimentary paper covers these and gives forecasts of the probable telecom future.

September 2007, 12 pages

Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report!



 

Broadband Equipment Lives for Local Exchange Carriers Report Cover

Broadband Equipment Lives for Local Exchange Carriers

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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Technology Futures forecasts continued increases in broadband speeds, hastening the obsolescence of broadband investment. This report presents recommendations for depreciation lives for broadband equipment such as video set-top boxes, headend equipment, and broadband loop electronics, including DSLAMs, DSL modems, and BPON equipment. Discussing the report, author Dr. Lawrence Vanston states, "The business of incumbent local exchange carriers (ILECs) is transitioning from primarily voice to primarily high-speed broadband and video. This means that equipment devoted to delivering broadband and video will come to dominate the useful investment of ILECs. Much of this equipment is significantly different than traditional narrowband equipment and, thus, may have different depreciation lives."

Featured Graph: Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate

August 2007, 74 pages
ISBN 18-84154-2-98
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $1,995 Electronic Delivery

 

Mechatronics, A Technology Forecast Paper Cover

Mechatronics, A Technology Forecast

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Jim Brazell, Eliza Evans, Ph.D., James A Irwin, and Michael A. Bettersworth, MA
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Mechatronics is another way of saying "intelligent mechanical systems" and it is the foundation of many 21st century enabling technologies. This publication, co-authored by Technology Futures' staff, includes an overview of mechatronic technology and analysis of related occupations and salaries, inventory of existing mechatronic curriculum and considerations for colleges considering developing related programs and lists of industry experts and mechatronics companies.

July 2007, 130 pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.
(This report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


Assessment of Wireless Broadband as a Competitor to Wireline Broadband Report Cover

 

Assessment of Wireless Broadband as a Competitor to Wireline Broadband

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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Technology Futures predicts wireless broadband can be economically deployed on a reasonably large scale--perhaps 20% of households--to offer the types of broadband services that DSL and cable modems offer now: that is, speeds in the range 1 Mb/s and relatively bursty traffic. This report provides an independent assessment of the potential for wireless broadband to compete with residential broadband services offered by incumbent local exchange carriers (ILECs) and cable companies.

December 2006, 46 pages
ISBN 1-884154-28-X
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $495 Electronic Delivery

Home Technology Integration, A Technology Forecast Paper Cover

 

Home Technology Integration, A Technology Forecast

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Michael A. Bettersworth, MA, and Wayne Caswell
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The market for integrating digital technology into residences is expanding beyond large, custom-built homes and into the broader mass housing market. The home technology integration (HTI) sector includes audio, video, networking, control systems, air conditioning, security and computer technology. This publication, co-authored by Technology Futures' staff, includes an overview of HTI technology, the nature of HTI jobs and skills, a directory of many HTI companies, and market drivers and constraints impacting the HTI industry and employment.

December 2006, 115 pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.
(This report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


Biotechnology: A Guide to Business and Workplace Development Report Cover

 

Biotechnology: A Guide to Business and Workplace Development

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott
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A must-have report for individuals and small and medium-sized businesses interested in entering or expanding activities in the biotechnology industry. The report gives a detailed overview and analysis of employment opportunities, drivers for success, funding sources, potential buyers and sellers, and research and commercialization opportunities. It includes direct input from experts currently working in the biotech area.

Featured Graph: Importance of Various Factors to Biotech Company Success

April 2006, 108 pages
ISBN 1-884154-27-1

US $50.00 Electronic Delivery
If you have a marketing code, please enter it here:

 


Transforming the Local Exchange Network Report Cover

 

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Third Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D. and Ray L. Hodges
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The latest edition of this report presents the latest Technology Futures' forecasts for the North American local exchange network covering switching, circuit equipment, and outside plant. The report also includes Technology Futures' latest recommendations on depreciation lives for local exchange telephone plants, accounting for technology displacement, and loss of access lines due to competition.

Featured Graph: ILEC Narrowband Access Lines and Broadband Connections
Featured Graph: Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate, Percentage of Households

March 2006, 150 pages
ISBN 1-884154-25-5
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $495 Electronic Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada


Forecasts for Broadband Communications Report Cover

 

Forecasts for Broadband Communications: An Analyst Paper by Technology Futures, Inc.

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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We expect broadband to continue to be adopted at a rapid rate, and ultimately, reach levels of penetration comparable to other popular consumer electronics. This paper provides Technology Futures' forecasts and analyses for the growth of residential broadband and higher broadband speeds.

December 2005, 12 pages
ISBN 1-884154-22-0
Adapted from TFI's report Forecasts for Higher Bandwidth Broadband Services

US $199 Electronic Delivery

 


Emerging  Technology Programs: Advanced Digital Manufacturing, Hybrid Vehicles,  Micro-Electromechanical Systems, and Computer Forensics Report Cover

 

Emerging Technology Programs: Advanced Digital Manufacturing, Hybrid Vehicles, Micro-Electromechanical Systems, and Computer Forensics

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Program Director: Michael A. Bettersworth
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Technology Futures identifies four emerging technologies worthy of detailed analysis, and found three offered promising opportunities for college graduates. A portion of the report focuses primarily on educational activities in Texas community and technical colleges, while the remainder is a resource for a broader-based audience. The report is housed on the TSTC website.

January 2005, 76 pages

Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.


(This report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.


Homeland Security Report Cover

 

Homeland Security, A Technology Forecast

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Program Director: Michael A. Bettersworth
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This report, written by Technology Futures staff members, offers information, insights and forecasts for those interested in homeland security. A portion of the report focuses primarily Texas community and technical colleges and homeland security activities in Texas. The remainder is a resource for a broader-based audience.

October 2004, 124 pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.
(The report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange Report Cover

 

Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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Competition is having a major impact on incumbent local exchange carriers (ILECs). For example, after years of high growth, the number of ILEC retail narrowband switched access lines peaked at 181.3 million lines in 1999 and has continuously declined since then, falling to 162.7 million lines by December 2002. This report documents Technology Futures' latest forecasts of the future of competition in the local exchange and its impact on the ILECs.

Featured Graph: Forecast ILEC Narrowband Access Lines and Broadband Connections

December 2003, 180 pages
ISBN 1-884154-21-2
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $495 Electronic Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada


Fuel Cells: A Technology Forecast Report Cover

 

Fuel Cells: A Technology Forecast

John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Program Director: Michael A. Bettersworth
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The report addresses the state of the art in fuel cells, the nature and rate of technical advances, potential employment demands, and forecasts and insights on the future of fuel cells. A portion of the report focuses primarily on two-year Texas colleges and fuel cell activities in Texas, the remainder is a resource for a broader-based audience.

December 2003, 80 pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.
(The report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


Nanotechnology: A Technology Forecast Report Cover

 

Nanotechnology: A Technology Forecast

Dr. John H. Vanston, Ph.D., Henry Elliott, Edited by: Larry Grulick, Ph.D., Michael A. Bettersworth
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This report addresses the current state of the technology, projects the emergence of nanotechnology markets, and examines the factors that might accelerate or deter the development of these markets. The first part of the report focuses on two-year colleges in Texas, the remainder lends itself as a resource to a broader-based audience.

August 2003, 81 Pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report
(The report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


Programs for Emerging Technologies Report Cover

 

Programs for Emerging Technologies

Michael A. Bettersworth, Larry Grulick, Ph.D., and John H. Vanston, Ph.D.
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Technology Futures has developed a new process, Programs for Emerging Technologies, in coordination with the Texas State Technical Colleges (TSTC) System, for identifying emerging technologies and then forecasting associated technical advances, market developments, and employment opportunities.

November 2002, 20 Pages
Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report.
(The report is housed on the Texas State Technical College System (TSTC) website.)
(The complete report, Forecasting Technical Program Needs , is also available.)
Sponsored by the TSTC.

 


The Local Exchange Network in 2015 Report Cover2015 Telecom Report - Free Download!

The Local Exchange Network in 2015

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.
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It's 2015. Where are we in the LE telecom technology arena? What are broadband data rates? What's the impact of wireless? What's the network architecture? Viewed from the perspective of 2001, find out author Larry Vanston's scenario backed up his extensive expertise and Technology Futures' technology forecasts! Find out more about 2015 to better prepare for the future!

December 2001, 28 pages
ISBN 1-884154-18-2
Sponsored by the TTFG

Download Complimentary Electronic Version of Report!

US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery
US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada


Salvage and Cost of Removal for LEC Investments Report Cover

 

Salvage and Cost of Removal for LEC Investments

Ray L. Hodges
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This report provides a comprehensive review of salvage and cost of removal factors for the local exchange carriers. It analyzes recent salvage trends and issues for computers, circuit switching, and outside plant investments, including non-metallic cable, poles, and conduit. It provides an identification and assessment of potential changes in salvage and cost of removal factors due to current and future technology trends.

Published March 2000, Bound Softcover, 98 pages
ISBN 1-884154-13-1
Sponsored by the TTFG

US $495 Electronic Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery
US $495 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada


Technology and Telecom Reports Archive

 

 


 

 


New Publications by TFI

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Sixth Edition
Transforming the Local Exchange Network: 6th Edition




Minitrends Book Cover MINITRENDS: How Innovators & Entrepreneurs Discover & Profit From Business & Technology Trends

By John H. Vanston, Ph.D. with Carrie Vanston

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