Publications Overview | Technology & Telecom Reports | Technology Forecasting Guides | Futures' Features | White Papers, Articles, & Complimentary Reports  | Communications Reference Book | Archive [ordering online? -- please see our return/refund policy] Technology Forecasting Guides Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting Practical Technology Forecasting Technology Forecasting: An Aid to Effective Technology Management   TFI offers educational publications and monographs on forecasting techniques and methodologies. These methodologies can be used to address practical business problems in technology management, finance, marketing, and strategic planning. To be informed of new TFI publications, please click here. Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting Lawrence K. Vanston, John H. Vanston This monograph, written by leading technology forecasters, includes discussion and examples of several substitution models including the Fisher-Pry and Gompertz models. When combined with good judgment and knowledge of the industry, these relatively simple models can usually outperform industry wisdom and the guesses that often pass for market forecasts. Anyone whose future depends on technology markets will find them extraordinarily useful both in gaining insight and understanding, as well as in decision making. Table of Contents: Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting Processes and Patterns of Technology Adoption The Process of Technologically-Driven Adoption The Process of Diffusion The Process of Mortality Mathematical Models for the Adoption of New Technology The Fisher-Pry Model The Gompertz Model Using Technology Market Adoption for Forecasting Using Substitution Models to Estimate Additions and Sales Experience with Forecasting with Substitution Models Conclusion Published 1996, Bound Softcover, 27 pages ISBN 1-884154-07-7 US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada Technology Forecasting: An Aid to Effective Technology Management John H. Vanston This management guide details technology forecasting techniques that will contribute to better decision making, and will provide assistance for organizations to improve planning, operations, and marketing. Table of Contents: Introduction Selecting Objectives for Technology Forecasting Activities Technology Forecasting Techniques Application of TF Technologies Initiating, Conducting, and Utilizing a Technology Forecasting Program Published 1988, Minor revisions in 1995 and 1998, Bound Softcover, 59 pages ISBN 1-884154-03-4 This publication is no longer available in hard copy form. An electronic version will be available mid-late May. If you would like to order in advance, we will be happy to send it to you when it is ready. US $45 Electronic Delivery Practical Technology Forecasting James R. Bright Technology forecasting describes a group of techniques that predict in quantifiable terms the direction, character, rate, implication, and impact of technical advance. People interested in the methodologies of technology forecasting will find this text indispensible. It provides an excellent introduction to, and overview of, most of the methods currently in use. Table of Contents: Introduction The Origins and Status of Formal Technology forecasting What Is Technology Forecasting? History as an Aid to Forecasting: Analyzing the Process of Technological Innovation Intuitive Forecasting Trend Extrapolation Morphological Analysis Normative (Goal-Oriented) Forecasting Forecasting by Monitoring Dynamic Modeling Scenarios Cross-Impact Analysis Originally published 1970, Revised 1972 and 1980, Bound Softcover, 110 pages ISBN 1-884154-09-3 US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery US $25 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada Copyright © Technology Futures, Inc. All rights reserved. 13740 Research Blvd., Bldg. C Austin, TX 78750-1859 Toll Free: (800) TEK-FUTR - Local & Outside USA: (512) 258-8898 FAX: (512) 258-0087 - e-mail: info@tfi.com - http://www.tfi.com