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TFI Keynote and Event Speakers - David Smith

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.

Telecommunications Trends Speaker

President
Technology Futures, Inc.

Dr. Vanston is a popular speaker on the subject of the future of telecommunications and its significance to organizations and people. He provides valid forecasts of future developments in the telecom industry and examines the driving forces behind these developments and their implications. As president of Technology Futures, Inc., Dr. Vanston has been monitoring, analyzing, and forecasting telecom technologies and services for more than 20 years.

Presentation Topics and Descriptions:

Telecom Technology Convergence
The telecommunications industry is navigating convergence from all sides: convergence of industries (cable, telephone, and data), convergence of digital media ,wireless and wireline convergence, and convergence of devices (handhelds, computers, and video), to name a few. Dr. Vanston reviews these developments and points out the key things to look out for.

Telecom Trends You Can't Ignore
Telecom trends are changing the way we live and do business. These include convergence, competition, globalization, wireless, ultra highspeed broadband, IP video, and VoIP. The impacts go way beyond the traditional boundaries of telecommunications. If you want to sell your products, keep your employees productive, and stay competitive in the global economy you must address these seismic changes.

Today's Kids: A Window to the Telecom Future
They're on the Internet before pre-school and have no memory of a world in which you had to be home to make a phone call. As they grow up, these kids are going to want more powerful communications tools, and will invent them, making today's advances seem stone-aged in comparison. Dr. Vanston extrapolates today's trends long-range, and talks about tools and applications future consumers will find commonplace. He also talks about the telecom network needed to give today's kids what they want in the future.

Wireless Broadband: Big Loser, Niche Player, or Big Winner?
How big will the wireless broadband market be and how fast will it develop? How will various technologies compete with each other and with wireline? Dr. Vanston will address these and other big-picture questions from the perspective of 28 years of forecasting in the telecom industry.

The Local Exchange Network in 2015: Step into the Future
The local exchange telecommunications industry is transitioning from a narrowband network of circuit switches and copper cables to a broadband network of packet switches and fiber optics. This transition will largely be complete between 2015 and 2020, but probably not much before . Dr. Vanston will describe a scenario for what the network will likely look like in 2015.

Transforming the Local Exchange Network
The local exchange telecommunications industry is transitioning from a narrowband network of circuit switches and copper cables to a broadband network of packet switches and fiber optics. Dr. Vanston presents the latest TFI forecasts for this transition, covering switching, circuit equipment, and outside plant. He also discusses the competitive impacts from wireless, broadband, cable telephony, and VoIP. Optionally, depending on the audience, he also provides TFI's latest recommendations on depreciation lives for telephone plant.

Technology Forecasting for Telecom: An Overview for Everyone
Dr. Vanston reviews the methods TFI has successfully used over two decades of forecasting telecom technologies and markets. Participants will gain an appreciation of the practical aspects of forecasting in a rapidly changing environment, including how to use forecasts to avoid big mistakes. Dr. Vanston will review previous forecasts that have stood the test of time, as well as TFI's current forecasts for key telecom technologies.

To find out more about our speaker services, please contact Carrie Vanston at (800) TEK-FUTR, (512) 258-8898, or cvanston@tfi.com. We welcome your inquiries.



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