Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange: Fourth Edition

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Forecasts of Access Line Competition in the Local Exchange

By Lawrence K. Vanston, Ph.D.

Description
Who should read this report?
Table of Contents
Figures and Featured Graph
Pricing/Ordering information
Sponsored by TTFG






Description  [back to top]

Forecasts of Access Line  Competition in the Local Exchange Report Cover

Competition is having a major impact on incumbent local exchange carriers. This report documents TFI's latest forecasts of the future of competition in the local exchange and its impact on the incumbent local exchange.

Who should read this report?[back to top]

  • Incumbent local exchange carriers
  • Competitive LECs
  • Interexchange carriers
  • Internet service providers
  • Telecom equipment manufacturers
  • Regulatory personnel
  • Depreciation professionals

Table of Contents  [back to top]

Chapter 1: Introduction and Summary
Broadband to the Rescue
Broadband Forecasts
Increasing Data Rate
Forecasting Approach
Survivor Curves
Chapter 2: Residential Narrowband Competition
Forecast of Total Residential Wireline Access Lines
Facilities-Based Competition from Cable Telephony
Resale & UNE Competition
Chapter 3: Residential Broadband Competition
Broadband Internet Access
Broadband Market Shares
Forecasts for Standard Broadband Market Shares
Forecasts for VHS and Total Broadband Market Shares
Summary of Residential Broadband Forecasts
Derivation of Standard Broadband Market Shares
Wireless Competition for Residential Broadband
Cable Modem and DSL Market Shares of Wireline Broadband
Transition to Very High Speed Broadband
Increasing Data Rates
Forecasts for IP Video
Chapter 4: Non-Residential Narrowband Competition
Forecast of Total Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines
Forecast of Small Business Wireline Access Lines
Forecast of Other Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines
Forecast of Competition from CLECs
Competition from Facilities-Based CLECs
Forecast of Total ILEC Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines
Chapter 5: Non-Residential Broadband Competition
Forecasts for Non-Residential Broadband by Customer Type
Forecasts for Non-Residential Broadband by Technology Type
Derivation of Market Share Forecasts
Derivation of Forecasts for Cable Modem and DSL Market Shares of Standard Wireline Broadband
Derivation of Forecasts for Wireless Market Share of Standard Broadband
Transition to Very-High-Speed Broadband
ILEC Broadband Connections
List of Figures and Featured Graph   [back to top]
1.1 Wireline Access Lines by Carrier Type
1.2 Wireline Access Line Displacement
1.3 Access Lines per Household
1.4 Wireless Only Households
1.5 Adults in Wireless Only Households by Age Group
1.6 ILEC Wireline Access Lines and Broadband Connections Featured Graph
1.7 Standard and VHS Broadband
1.8 Broadband Connections
1.9 Broadband Connections by Type
1.10 Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate
2.1 Residential Wireline Access Lines by Carrier Type
2.2 Wireline Access Line Displacement
2.3 Access Lines per Household
2.4 Wireless Only Households
2.5 Adults in Wireless Only Households by Age Group
2.6 Access Lines Served by Cable Telephony (Percentage of Total Residential Wireline Access Lines)
2.7 Access Lines Served via Resale/UNE (Percentage of Total Residential Wireline Access Lines)
3.1 Broadband Households
3.2 Adoption of Standard and Very-High-Speed Broadband (Percentage of Households)
3.3 Market Shares of DSL, Cable Modems and Wireless Substitutes for Standard Broadband (Percentage of Standard Broadband Households)
3.4 Broadband Households by Access Technology
3.5 ILEC Residential Broadband Connections
3.6 Mobile Wireless Broadband Subscriber (Percentage of Population)
3.7 Fixed and Mobile Wireless Broadband Subscribers
3.8 Broadband Households and Mobile Wireless Broadband Subscribers
3.9 Wireless Substitutes Market Share (Percentage of Standard Broadband Households)
3.10 DSL Market Share of Standard Broadband (Percentage of Wireline Standard Broadband Households)
3.11 Broadband Households by Nominal Data Rate
3.12 Trend in Residential Access Data Rates
3.13 Online Video Users and Internet TV Users
3.14 HDTV Households
3.15 Internet HDTV Households
3.16 Comparison of Internet HDTV and 24Mb/s & Above Broadband Forecasts
4.1 Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines by Carrier Type
4.2 Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines
4.3 Small Business Average Access Lines per Location
4.4 Small Business Wireline Access Line Displacement
4.5 Other Non-Residential Average Access Lines per Location
4.6 Other Non-Residential Wireline Access Line Displacement
4.7 CLEC Market Share of Small Business Access Lines
4.8 CLEC Market Share of Other Non-Residential Access Lines
4.9 CLEC and ILEC Small Business Access Lines (Millions)
4.10 CLEC and ILEC Other Non-Residential Access Lines
4.11 Facilities-Based Market Share of CLEC Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines
4.12 CLEC Non-Residential Access Lines, Facilities-Based and Resale & UNE (Millions)
4.13 ILEC Provided Non-Residential Wireline Access Lines, Retail and Resale & UNE (Millions)
5.1 Forecast Non-Residential Broadband Connections
5.2 Adoption of Small Business Broadband, Average Connections per Location
5.3 Adoption of Other Non-Residential Broadband Connections, Average Connections per Location
5.4 Small Business Broadband Connections by Access Technology
5.5 Other Non-Residential Broadband Connections by Access Technology
5.6 Small Business Broadband Connections by Access Technology (Percentage of Standard Broadband Connections)
5.7 Other Non-Residential Broadband Connections by Access Technology (Percentage of Standard Broadband Connections)
5.8 DSL Market Share of Small Business Standard Wireline Broadband Connections
5.9 DSL Market Share of Other Non-Residential Standard Wireline Broadband Connections
5.10 Market Share of Small Business Wireless Broadband Substitutes (Percentage of Standard Broadband Connections)
5.11 Market Share of Other Non-Residential Wireless Broadband Substitutes (Percentage of Standard Broadband Connections)
5.12 Adoption of VHS Broadband by Small Businesses (Connections per Location)
5.13 Adoption of VHS Broadband by Other Non-Residential Locations (Average Connections per Location)
5.14 ILEC Market Share of Other Non-Residential VHS Broadband
5.15 ILEC Small Business Total Broadband Connections
5.16 ILEC Other Non-Residential Total Broadband Connections

Pricing Information[back to top]

January 2009 Sponsored by the TTFG, ISBN 1-884154-34-4

US $1,495* Electronic Delivery

*Texas residents add 7.25% (Austin, Texas 8.25%) sales tax.
Call for TTFG member prices and volume discounts.