Publications Overview | Telecom Reports | Technology Forecasting Guides | Futures' Features | Future Impacts | White Papers, Articles, & Complimentary Reports  | Communications Reference Book | Archive [ordering online? -- please see our return/refund policy] Advanced Video Services Analysis and Forecasts for Terrestrial Service Providers Lawrence K. Vanston, Curt Rogers, & Ray L. Hodges Description Key findings Table of contents Exhibits Pricing/Ordering information Description  [back to top] This report updates TFI's 1992 report, Telecommunications for Television/Advanced Television: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies. Don't miss this opportunity to get the latest edition of the forecasts used by industry insiders when they want an informed, independent assessment of future technology and market change. Rapid change driven by the increasing integration of three dynamic industries -- television, computers, and telecommunications -- is creating a new industry: advanced video services (AVS). Focused on consumer-oriented television services, this report examines the services, the providers, and the technologies of AVS. This in-depth research report forecasts the availability and adoption of AVS, particularly by the terrestrial cable and telephone networks. Included are likely technology adoption strategies of some newcomers to the video industry -- the local telephone companies -- and assessments of the impact on their existing networks. Key Findings From This Latest TFI Report  [back to top] Analyzes potential video dialtone services, potential applications, and adoption forecasts. Reviews HDTV technology, its advantages, and adoption forecasts. Overviews traditional and evolving cable television and telephone architectures. Explains how video dialtone and HDTV video dialtone might be offered on the telephone network. Compares adoption forecasts for video dialtone and HDTV with forecasts of technology adoption in the local exchange telephone network. Table of Contents  [back to top] Chapter One Introduction and Summary The Video Services Market Terrestrial Video Services Networks The Cable Television Network of the Future The Telephone Network of the Future Forecasts for Advanced Video Services Forecasts of AVS Availability and Adoption HDTV AVS Adoption Forecasts for the Modernization of Terrestrial Networks Investment Requirements for Local Telephone Networks Summary Chapter Two Video Services Video On Demand (VOD) Near Video On Demand (NVOD) NVOD Trials and Deployment Pay-Per-View (PPV) Future Growth HDTV Interactive Games Alliances Between Platform Game System Developers and ITV Providers Sega of America, Time Warner, TCI Atari, Time Warner 3DO, U S WEST Nintendo, GTE ODS Technologies, TKR Cable Transactional Services Home Shopping Distance Learning and Training Examples of Networks and Services in the Private Sector Chapter Three Video Network Services Providers The New Competitive Environment Cable Television Operators Telephone Companies Telco Strategies Wireless Cable Television Operators Direct Broadcast Satellite Operators Broadcast Television Electric Utilities Chapter Four Video Services Network A Brief Review of Video Signals The Traditional Cable Network The Headend The Trunk and Feeder Network The Subscriber Drop Customer Premises Equipment Hubs and Supertrunks Fiber-to-the-Feeder The Traditional Telephone Network Fiber-in-the-Feeder Cable TV and Telephone Video Networks: Convergence or Divergence? The Cable Television Network of the Future The Telephone Network of the Future ADSL HFC FTTC Switched Digital Video FTTH Costs for Network Alternatives Chapter Five Forecasts for Advanced Video Services Forecast of AVS Adoption Terrestrial AVS Availability HDTV Adoption HDTV AVS Adoption Terrestrial HDTV AVS Availability Chapter Six Forecasts for the Modernization of Local Telephone Networks Scenarios for the Adoption of Fiber in the Loop Impact on the Existing Telephone Network Investment Requirements for Local Telephone Networks Summary Appendix A NVOD: The 500-Channel Environment Appendix B Equipment Providers List of Exhibits  [back to top] 1.1 A Classification of Video Services by Customer Interface 1.2 A Framework for the Video Services Market 1.3 Issues in the Video Services Market 1.4 Forecast for the Adoption and Availability of AVS 1.5 Forecasts for the Adoption and Availability of HAVS 1.6 Forecasts for LEC Fiber Availability 2.1 A Classification of Video Services by Customer Interface 2.2 Alternative Paths for Video Games 3.1 Total Revenues of Video Services Providers -- 1994 3.2 Top 20 Cable Networks 3.3 Cluster Sizes 3.4 Top 10 Cable MSOs -- 1994 3.5 New Content Companies 3.6 Residential Broadband Trials 3.7 Residential Broadband Deployment 3.8 Suppliers for Residential Broadband Trials and Deployment 3.9 Top U.S. Wireless Cable Operators 3.10 U.S. DBS Players 3.11 Broadcast Network Revenues -- 1994 4.1 Comparison of Traditional Networks and Terminology 4.2 Traditional Cable Network: Tree and Branch Architecture 4.3 Cable Television Microwave Hub System 4.4 CATV Fiber-to-the-Feeder: Star-Bus Architecture 4.5 Cable Industry: Percentage of Backbone Converted to Fiber 4.6 Traditional Telephone Network: Star Architecture 4.7 Telco Fiber-in-the-Feeder: Carrier Serving Areas 4.8 Future Cable Television Network: Star-Star-Bus Architecture 4.9 Fiber and ADSL Supporting Video Dialtone Delivery 4.10 Future FTTC Telephone Local Loop Network: Star-Star-Star Architecture 4.11 Hybrid Fiber Coax Versus Fiber-to-the-Curb 5.1 The Gompertz Model 5.2 Historical Analogies Used to Drive the Forecast of AVS Adoption 5.3 Forecast for the Adoption of AVS 5.4 The Fisher-Pry Model 5.5 The Relationship Between Availability, Adoption, and Take Rate for Pay Cable 5.6 Historical Analogies Used to Define the Adoption/Availability Relationship 5.7 Forecast for the Adoption and Availability of AVS 5.8 Forecast for the Adoption of HDTV Sets 5.9 Comparison of AVS and HAVS Adoption Forecasts 5.10 Forecast for the Adoption and Availability of Terrestrial HAVS 5.11 Summary of Forecast Statistics 6.1 Forecasts for Fiber Availability 6.2 1995 Fiber Adoption Scenarios 6.3 Loop Copper Cable Survivors 6.4 Copper Cable Survivors for 1995 Fiber Adoption Scenarios 6.5 Fiber Additions as a Percentage of Total Access Lines 6.6 Annual LEC Residential Investment 6.7 Assumptions for Investment Estimates 6.8 Investment Over Normal for Fiber and AVS Upgrade 6.9 Annual Investment Over Normal 6.10 Cumulative Investment Over Normal A.1 A Simple NVOD Example B.1 Who's Manufacturing Hybrid/Coax Transmission Equipment -- 1994 B.2 Residential Broadband Networks B.3 Present and Probable Suppliers of Set-Top Boxes Pricing Information  [back to top] Published 1995, 132 pages, Bound Softcover, Sponsored by the TTFG, ISBN 1-884154-13-1 US $45 Hard Copy Mail Delivery US $45 Hard Copy Mail Delivery Outside US, Canada Texas residents add 7.25% (Austin, Texas 8.25%) sales tax. 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