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[title] '; include("head.php"); ?> Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
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Competitive Impacts of Wireless and Cable Voice Services
Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
Rogers, Curt
[HTML version] [pdf version]
The authors analyze the magnitude and timing of the impact of wireless and cable competition on the LECs' wireline services, provide forecasts for some best- and worst-case scenarios and finally recommend some strategic responses for the LECs.

Forecasts for Advanced Video Services
Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
[HTML version] [pdf version]
The author previews a newly defined industry -- advanced video services (AVS). He provides forecasts with analysis for the adoption and availability of AVS and HDTV. These forecasts are intended to help decision makers who are concerned with timing the development of the advanced video services market and the supporting infrastructure . Included is a table classifying video services by customer interface.

Forecasts of High-Speed Home Digital Services
Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
[HTML version] [pdf version]
Summarizes recent Technology Futures, Inc. forecasts of the percentage of households using digital services by data rate. Also provides some scenarios describing how one group of potential providers -- local exchange carriers -- will have to upgrade their networks to be competitive in the market for digital access services.

Planning Tools for Informed Decisions: Technical Trend Analysis
Vanston, John H. , Ph.D.
Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
[HTML version] [pdf version]
The authors begin a series of articles on the role of technology forecasting (TF) in effective decision making. Each article will examine different TF techniques, methods for employing the results of forecasts, and suggestions for integrating TF activities into corporate activities.

Three Scenarios for the Adoption of FITL and xDSL
Vanston, Lawrence K. , Ph.D.
[HTML version] [pdf version]
Presents three scenarios of how local exchange carriers may evolve their landline networks to provide high-speed digital services to residences requiring access to multimedia on-line/Internet applications. All three scenarios envision the ultimate adoption of fiber; the difference is in the timing.

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