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Lawrence K. Vanston, Ray L. Hodges, and Adrian J. Poitras
This 1995 report updates the calculations for depreciation lives and summarizes the results of TFI's 1994 research report, Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Analyses and Forecasts of Technology Change.
Published 1995, Bound Softcover, 51 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston
This research report quantifies the replacement of older telecom technologies with new high-speed, high-bandwidth telecom technologies–fiber optics, SONET, and ATM–by the LECs. It is focused primarily on the management of capital, including both the realistic assessment of the usefulness and longevity of existing assets, as well as the need for new investment to provide the basis for earnings, growth, competitiveness, and satisfied customers in the future.
Published 1994, Bound Softcover, 200 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston and John Vanston
This monograph updates Ralph C. Lenz's monograph, Rates of Adoption/Substitution in Technological Change. This revision includes discussion and examples of several substitution models including the Fisher-Pry and Gompertz models.
Published 1996, Bound Softcover, 27 pages, ISBN 1-884154-07-7, Sponsored by the TTFG*
John H. Vanston
This management guide details technology forecasting techniques that will contribute to better decision making and will provide assistance for organizations to improve planning, operations, and marketing.
Published 1988, Bound Softcover, 59 pages, ISBN 1-884154-03-4
James R. Bright
Technology forecasting describes a group of techniques that predict in quantifiable terms the direction, character, rate, implication, and impact of technical advance. People interested in the methodologies of technology forecasting will find this text indispensible. It provides an excellent introduction to, and overview of, most of the methods currently in use.
Published 1996, Bound Softcover, 27 pages, ISBN 1-884154-09-3
Ralph C. Lenz and Lawrence K. Vanston
This research report sorts out the key issues, reviews the relevant technologies, and quantifies the timing and size of the competitive impact of wireless services on wireline revenues and equipment lives for local exchange carriers.
Published 1993, Bound Softcover, 99 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston
Over the next several decades, the focus of the telephone network will change dramatically. As the capstone of this new services report series, forecasts for demand of residential and business applications of digital communications are reviewed. These services include advanced fax, computer-based imaging, interactive multimedia, local area network inter-connection, multi-way video communications, and advanced television. The potential impact of these new digital services on the public telephone network is examined and discussed. Conclusive findings resulting from three years of research and six research reports are presented.
Published 1993, Bound Softcover, 85 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton
Combining the visual power of television with the power of computers and telephony promises to transform the TV into an interactive entertainment and communications device in the future. The integration of video with voice and data communications is changing the regulatory and competitive boundaries of both the telephone and cable industries. This report looks at how television services will impact the development of the public telecommunications network and develops forecasts of the demand for video dialtone services and the adoption of HDTV.
Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 144 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton
During the next decade, advances in chip, computing, and transmission technologies hold the promise of making two-way video communications as easy and affordable as catching the latest news on cable TV. This report looks at three major segments of the booming video communications market–the high-end conference systems market, the desktop market, and the home market–and develops forecasts for each market.
Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 111 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Bruce R. Kravitz and Lawrence K. Vanston
The skyrocketing growth of local area networks has created an enormous demand for easy, cost-effective methods for linking geographically-remote LANs. As these private networks grow in size, complexity, and cost, companies are increasingly looking to the public network to provide the high-speed communications services necessary to interconnect LANs. This report discusses technologies and topologies, the concept of protocols, and the drivers fueling the growth of LANs and LAN interconnection in the United States. Forecasts are developed for both the LAN and LAN interconnection markets.
Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 116 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Julia A. Marsh and Lawrence K. Vanston
Factors impacting the development and commercialization of multimedia products and services are discussed. Demand forecasts for multimedia communications in the home and office markets are developed.
Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 143 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston, Samia El-Badry-Nance, William J. Kennedy, and Nancy E. Lux
This report considers the future of computer-based imaging and the impacts of telecommunications. Forecasts in two general markets–document applications and photorealistic applications–are developed through the early 2000s.
Published 1991, Bound Softcover, 185 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
Lawrence K. Vanston, William J. Kennedy and Samia El-Badry-Nance
In this report, the future of fax is considered from four perspectives: the office fax explosion, emerging new fax technologies, prospects for a home fax explosion, and the potential impact on the telecom network. Forecasts for the home and office fax markets are developed through 2010.
Published 1991, Bound Softcover, 80 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*
*Telecommunications Technology Forecasting Group. See description on page sin874-5_1.html. include("foot.php"); ?>