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SUPPORT PRODUCTS p2
SIN 874-5

Depreciation Lives for Telecommunications Equipment: Review and Update

Lawrence K. Vanston, Ray L. Hodges, and Adrian J. Poitras

This 1995 report updates the calculations for depreciation lives and summarizes the results of TFI's 1994 research report, Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Analyses and Forecasts of Technology Change.

Published 1995, Bound Softcover, 51 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Transforming the Local Exchange Network: Analyses and Forecasts of Technology Change,1994 Edition

Lawrence K. Vanston

This research report quantifies the replacement of older telecom technologies with new high-speed, high-bandwidth telecom technologies–fiber optics, SONET, and ATM–by the LECs. It is focused primarily on the management of capital, including both the realistic assessment of the usefulness and longevity of existing assets, as well as the need for new investment to provide the basis for earnings, growth, competitiveness, and satisfied customers in the future.

Published 1994, Bound Softcover, 200 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Introduction to Technology Market Forecasting

Lawrence K. Vanston and John Vanston

This monograph updates Ralph C. Lenz's monograph, Rates of Adoption/Substitution in Technological Change. This revision includes discussion and examples of several substitution models including the Fisher-Pry and Gompertz models.

Published 1996, Bound Softcover, 27 pages, ISBN 1-884154-07-7, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Technology Forecasting: An Aid to Effective Technology Management

John H. Vanston

This management guide details technology forecasting techniques that will contribute to better decision making and will provide assistance for organizations to improve planning, operations, and marketing.

Published 1988, Bound Softcover, 59 pages, ISBN 1-884154-03-4

Practical Technology Forecasting

James R. Bright

Technology forecasting describes a group of techniques that predict in quantifiable terms the direction, character, rate, implication, and impact of technical advance. People interested in the methodologies of technology forecasting will find this text indispensible. It provides an excellent introduction to, and overview of, most of the methods currently in use.

Published 1996, Bound Softcover, 27 pages, ISBN 1-884154-09-3

Personal Communications: Perspectives, Forecasts, and Impacts

Ralph C. Lenz and Lawrence K. Vanston

This research report sorts out the key issues, reviews the relevant technologies, and quantifies the timing and size of the competitive impact of wireless services on wireline revenues and equipment lives for local exchange carriers.

Published 1993, Bound Softcover, 99 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

New Telecom Services & the Public Telephone Network

Lawrence K. Vanston

Over the next several decades, the focus of the telephone network will change dramatically. As the capstone of this new services report series, forecasts for demand of residential and business applications of digital communications are reviewed. These services include advanced fax, computer-based imaging, interactive multimedia, local area network inter-connection, multi-way video communications, and advanced television. The potential impact of these new digital services on the public telephone network is examined and discussed. Conclusive findings resulting from three years of research and six research reports are presented.

Published 1993, Bound Softcover, 85 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Telecommunications for Television/Advanced Television: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies

Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton

Combining the visual power of television with the power of computers and telephony promises to transform the TV into an interactive entertainment and communications device in the future. The integration of video with voice and data communications is changing the regulatory and competitive boundaries of both the telephone and cable industries. This report looks at how television services will impact the development of the public telecommunications network and develops forecasts of the demand for video dialtone services and the adoption of HDTV.

Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 144 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Video Communications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies

Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton

During the next decade, advances in chip, computing, and transmission technologies hold the promise of making two-way video communications as easy and affordable as catching the latest news on cable TV. This report looks at three major segments of the booming video communications market–the high-end conference systems market, the desktop market, and the home market–and develops forecasts for each market.

Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 111 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Local Area Network Interconnection: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies

Bruce R. Kravitz and Lawrence K. Vanston

The skyrocketing growth of local area networks has created an enormous demand for easy, cost-effective methods for linking geographically-remote LANs. As these private networks grow in size, complexity, and cost, companies are increasingly looking to the public network to provide the high-speed communications services necessary to interconnect LANs. This report discusses technologies and topologies, the concept of protocols, and the drivers fueling the growth of LANs and LAN interconnection in the United States. Forecasts are developed for both the LAN and LAN interconnection markets.

Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 116 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Interactive Multimedia and Telecommunications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies

Julia A. Marsh and Lawrence K. Vanston

Factors impacting the development and commercialization of multimedia products and services are discussed. Demand forecasts for multimedia communications in the home and office markets are developed.

Published 1992, Bound Softcover, 143 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

Computer-Based Imaging and Telecommunications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies

Lawrence K. Vanston, Samia El-Badry-Nance, William J. Kennedy, and Nancy E. Lux

This report considers the future of computer-based imaging and the impacts of telecommunications. Forecasts in two general markets–document applications and photorealistic applications–are developed through the early 2000s.

Published 1991, Bound Softcover, 185 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

A Facsimile of the Future: Forecasts of the Fax Markets and Technologies

Lawrence K. Vanston, William J. Kennedy and Samia El-Badry-Nance

In this report, the future of fax is considered from four perspectives: the office fax explosion, emerging new fax technologies, prospects for a home fax explosion, and the potential impact on the telecom network. Forecasts for the home and office fax markets are developed through 2010.

Published 1991, Bound Softcover, 80 pages, Sponsored by the TTFG*

*Telecommunications Technology Forecasting Group. See description on page sin874-5_1.html.