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New Telecommunication Services

The New Telecommunications Services for Business and Society: 1990-2010 report series was Sponsored by the Telecommunications Technology Forecasting Group. The objective was to quantitatively forecast new telecommunications services and their impact on technology adoption in the public network.


New Telecommunications Services and the Public Telephone Network
Lawrence K. Vanston

Over the next several decades, the focus of the telephone network will change dramatically. As the capstone of this new services report series, forecasts for demand of residential and business applications of digital communications are reviewed. These services include advanced fax, computer-based imaging, interactive multimedia, local area network interconnection, multi-way video communications, and advanced television. The potential impact of these new digital services on the public telephone network is examined and discussed. Conclusive findings resulting from three years of research and six research reports are presented.

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Telecommunications for Television/Advanced Television: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies
Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton

Combining the visual power of television with the power of computers and telephony promises to transform the TV into an interactive entertainment and communications device in the future. The integration of video with voice and data communications is changing the regulatory and competitive boundaries of both the telephone and cable industries. This report looks at how television services will impact the development of the public telecommunications network and develops forecasts of the demand for video dialtone services and the adoption of HDTV.

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Video Communications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies
Lawrence K. Vanston, Julia A. Marsh, and Susan M. Hinton

During the next decade, advances in chip, computing, and transmission technologies hold the promise of making two-way video communications as easy and affordable as catching the latest news on cable TV. This report looks at three major segments of the booming video communications market -- the high-end conference systems market, the desktop market, and the home market -- and develops forecasts for each market.

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Local Area Network Interconnection: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies
Bruce R. Kravitz and Lawrence K. Vanston

The skyrocketing growth of local area networks has created an enormous demand for easy, cost-effective methods for linking geographically-remote LANs. As these private networks grow in size, complexity, and cost, companies are increasingly looking to the public network to provide the high-speed communications services necessary to interconnect LANs. This report discusses technologies and topologies, the concept of protocols, and the drivers fueling the growth of LANs and LAN interconnection in the U.S. Forecasts are developed for both the LAN and LAN interconnection markets.

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Interactive Multimedia and Telecommunications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies
Julia A. Marsh and Lawrence K. Vanston

Factors impacting the development and commercialization of multimedia products and services are discussed. Demand forecasts for multimedia communications in the home and office markets are developed.

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Computer-Based Imaging and Telecommunications: Forecasts of Markets and Technologies
Lawrence K. Vanston, Samia El-Badry-Nance, William J. Kennedy, and Nancy E. Lux

This report considers the future of computer-based imaging and the impacts of telecommunications. Forecasts in two general markets -document applications and photorealistic applications- are developed through the early 2000s.

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A Facsimile of the Future: Forecasts of the Fax Markets and Technologies
Lawrence K. Vanston, William J. Kennedy and Samia El-Badry-Nance

In this report, the future of the fax is considered from four perspectives: the office fax explosion, emerging new fax technologies, prospects for a home fax explosion, and the potential impact on the telecom network. Forecasts for the home and office fax markets are developed through 2010.

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